June 06, 2012 at 9:07 am
President Obama leads Mitt Romney in Florida by a 50 to 46 percent margin, according to a new survey from the Democratic-leaning Public Policy Polling.
According to PPP, Obama’s four-point lead over Romney is attributed to a few reliably Democratic groups– women, Hispanics, African American and young voters.
Obama is up 57-39 with women, 61-36 with Hispanics, 93-7 with African Americans, and 65-27 with voters under 30 years-old. Romney, meanwhile, is up 52-46 with seniors and 55-41 with white voters.
Obama benefits greatly from a gender gap in the Florida, the poll finds. The president is up 18 points with women, while Romney is up 10 points with men.
Romney’s personal rating is at 39 percent favorable, while 51 percent say they have an unfavorable view of the former Massachusetts governor. Obama’s approval rating is at 49 percent in the poll, while 46 percent disapprove of his performance.
Neither of Florida’s most discussed VP prospects, Sen. Marco Rubio and former Gov. Jeb Bush, would have a huge impact. According to the poll, Rubio’s presence on the ticket would only narrow Obama’s lead to three points and Bush would actually slightly increase the president’s lead to five points.
The poll also looked at Gov. Rick Scott and Rep. Allen West’s VP potential, finding—not surprisingly– that both would be detrimental to Romney’s prospects in the state.
Scott’s numbers have taken a dive since April, PPP found. The survey showed 31% of voters approve of the governor, while 56% disapprove. “Only North Carolina’s Bev Perdue is more unpopular among current Governors in our polling,” PPP noted in their release.
Just 21 percent of those polled had a favorable opinion of West while 30 percent had an unfavorable opinion of the congressman. Among African-Americans, West’s personal rating is at dismal nine percent favorable and 49 percent unfavorable.
“Florida’s going to be closely contested this fall as it always is,” Dean Debnam, president of PPP, said in a release. “But for now we’re finding Barack Obama as a modest favorite in the state.”
PPP surveyed 642 Florida voters from May 31st to June 3rd. The margin of error for the survey is +/-3.9%.